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When will real estate market cool down

Find out when the real estate market in the US will cool down and what factors are contributing to the current state of the housing market.


The real estate market in the United States has been on fire in recent years, with soaring prices and intense competition among buyers. Many individuals and families are wondering when this hot streak will cool down and provide a more balanced and sustainable housing market. In this article, we will explore the factors that have contributed to the current state of the US real estate market and discuss when we can expect it to stabilize.

Factors Driving the Hot Real Estate Market:

  1. Low Mortgage Rates:

With historically low mortgage rates, many potential homebuyers are eager to take advantage of the favorable borrowing conditions. This increased demand has driven up housing prices, creating a competitive market environment.

  1. Limited Housing Inventory:

The supply of available homes has been lagging behind the demand, leading to a shortage of housing options in many areas. This scarcity has further fueled the competition among buyers, resulting in bidding wars and higher prices.

  1. Pandemic-Induced Shifts:

The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted many individuals to reconsider their living

Mortgages are still going to be a “wild card” for buyers going into this fall, according to Realtor.com's Hale, but as far as 2023 is concerned, it looks like early October is going to be as good as it gets in terms of prices, inventory and competition. Find out how much house you can borrow before you start looking.

Will 2024 be a good time to buy a house?

Predictions for the 2024 real estate market

Despite anticipation for a more stable housing market, affordability remains a concern. Mortgage rates—while possibly cooling off—are also projected to stay elevated in 2024, which could be challenging for some Americans, especially first-time homebuyers.

What is the outlook for the real estate market in 2023?

Tightening financial conditions and the deteriorating economic outlook will weigh on commercial real estate investment in H1 2023. However, should interest rates stabilize, conditions may be conducive for a healthy recovery in H2 2023. CBRE forecasts 2023 investment volume to decline by 15% from 2022 levels.

What time of year is real estate the hottest?


Spring is a hot time of year for the real estate market. The warm weather and end of the school year tend to draw out sellers and buyers in droves, which creates a healthy marketplace. That's both good and bad if you're looking for a new home. Choices abound, but so does your competition.

Will 2023 or 2024 be a good time to buy a house?

Zillow has a similar forecast, as it expects home values to rise by 6.5% from July 2023 through July 2024, despite “despite persistent affordability challenges.” Likewise, Freddie Mac is forecasting prices rising by 0.8% between August 2023 and August 2024, followed by another 0.9% gain in the following 12 months.

What real estate market is down the most?

Housing market (metro) MoM Peak-to-trough
Boston, MA 1.01% −5.20%
Phoenix, AZ 0.58% −9.59%
San Francisco, CA 1.04% −9.61%
Riverside, CA 0.99% −6.91%

Where in us are home prices dropping?

Where Home Prices Are Cooling

Rank City Percent change
2 San Francisco, CA −13.30%
3 Palo Alto, CA −12.82%
4 Fremont, CA −12.77%
5 Kirkland, WA −12.37%

Frequently Asked Questions

Where in the US is real estate going down?

Some of the most popular pandemic boomtowns such as Phoenix and Seattle, plus perennially popular West Coast cities like San Jose and San Francisco, posted home price declines of more than 10% from their 2022 peaks, according to December data from mortgage technology and data provider Black Knight Inc.

What causes real estate to go down?

A downturn in general economic activity leads to less disposable income, job losses, and fewer job openings, which decreases the demand for housing. A recession is particularly dangerous. Demand is exhausted, bringing supply and demand into equilibrium and slowing the rapid pace of home price appreciation.

When will the real estate market turn

Oct 25, 2023 — The pent-up demand for housing is expected to be supplied between 2025 and 2030, according to the National Association of Home Builders. However 

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